* PRedicted Intensity Model Error (PRIME) * * AL032015 07/14/15 12 UTC * * DSHP * TIME (HR) 12 24 36 48 60 72 84 96 108 120 V (KT) DSHP 36 32 32 29 24 20 -999 -999 -999 -999 V (KT) DSHP_BC 37 33 28 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 AERR (KT) PRED 3 5 6 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 AERR (KT) CLIM 5 8 10 11 12 12 12 12 12 12 BIAS PREDICTORS: ENS STDV (KT) 1.0 2.8 4.6 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 INIT 200MB DIV 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 INIT DTL (NMI) 424.0 424.0 424.0 424.0 424.0 424.0 424.0 424.0 424.0 424.0 ENSMN V (KT) 0.8 1.8 5.3 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 AERR PREDICTORS: AVG LAT (N) 42.1 43.6 44.6 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9-5499.5-6999.3-7749.2-8199.2 V (KT) DSHP 36.0 32.0 32.0 29.0 24.0 20.0 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 ENSMN V (KT) 0.8 1.8 5.3 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 ENS STDV (KT) 1.0 2.8 4.6 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 * PRedicted Intensity Model Error (PRIME) * * AL032015 07/14/15 12 UTC * * LGEM * TIME (HR) 12 24 36 48 60 72 84 96 108 120 V (KT) LGEM 36 33 29 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 V (KT) LGEM_BC 34 27 24 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 AERR (KT) PRED 3 5 6 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 AERR (KT) CLIM 5 7 10 11 11 11 11 11 10 10 BIAS PREDICTORS: INIT DTL (NMI) 424.0 424.0 424.0 424.0 424.0 424.0 424.0 424.0 424.0 424.0 T=0 V (KT) LGEM 40.0 40.0 40.0 40.0 40.0 40.0 40.0 40.0 40.0 40.0 V (KT) LGEM 36.0 33.0 29.0 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 ENSMN V (KT) 0.8 2.8 2.3 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 AERR PREDICTORS: AVG LAT (N) 42.1 43.6 44.6 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9-5499.5-6999.3-7749.2-8199.2 ENS STDV (KT) 1.0 2.8 4.6 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 ENSMN V (KT) 0.8 2.8 2.3 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 * PRedicted Intensity Model Error (PRIME) * * AL032015 07/14/15 12 UTC * * GHMI * TIME (HR) 12 24 36 48 60 72 84 96 108 120 V (KT) GHMI 35 29 22 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 V (KT) GHMI_BC 35 29 25 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 AERR (KT) PRED 3 4 5 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 AERR (KT) CLIM 5 7 8 10 10 10 10 11 11 11 BIAS PREDICTORS: T=0 V (KT) GHMI 40.0 40.0 40.0 40.0 40.0 40.0 40.0 40.0 40.0 40.0 V (KT) GHMI 35.0 29.0 22.0 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 ENSMN V (KT) -0.3 -1.3 -4.8 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 AERR PREDICTORS: VMX CHANGE (KT) -5.0 -11.0 -18.0 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 INIT LAT (N) 40.7 40.7 40.7 40.7 40.7 40.7 40.7 40.7 40.7 40.7 ENS STDV (KT) 1.0 2.8 4.6 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 AVG LAT (N) 42.1 43.6 44.6 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9-5499.5-6999.3-7749.2-8199.2 ENSMN V (KT) -0.3 -1.3 -4.8 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 * PRedicted Intensity Model Error (PRIME) * * AL032015 07/14/15 12 UTC * * HWFI * TIME (HR) 12 24 36 48 60 72 84 96 108 120 V (KT) HWFI 34 27 24 26 31 38 38 34 30 27 V (KT) HWFI_BC 35 28 25 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 AERR (KT) PRED 2 2 3 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 AERR (KT) CLIM 5 7 8 9 10 10 9 10 10 11 BIAS PREDICTORS: INIT DTL (NMI) 424.0 424.0 424.0 424.0 424.0 424.0 424.0 424.0 424.0 424.0 AVG LAT (N) 42.1 43.6 44.6 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9-5499.5-6999.3-7749.2-8199.2 ENSMN V (KT) -1.3 -3.3 -2.8 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 AERR PREDICTORS: AVG LAT (N) 42.1 43.6 44.6 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9-5499.5-6999.3-7749.2-8199.2 AVG MPI (KT) 81.3 76.2 74.5 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 STDEV BT (C) 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.5 VMX CHANGE (KT) -6.0 -13.0 -16.0 -14.0 -9.0 -2.0 -2.0 -6.0 -10.0 -13.0 T=0 V (KT) HWFI 40.0 40.0 40.0 40.0 40.0 40.0 40.0 40.0 40.0 40.0 V (KT) HWFI 34.0 27.0 24.0 26.0 31.0 38.0 38.0 34.0 30.0 27.0 ENSMN V (KT) -1.3 -3.3 -2.8 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 * PRedicted Intensity Model Error (PRIME) * * Corrected Consensus * ICON (KT) 35.2 30.2 26.8 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 CCON (KT) 35.1 29.1 25.6 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9