* PRedicted Intensity Model Error (PRIME) * * AL092015 09/19/15 18 UTC * * DSHP * TIME (HR) 12 24 36 48 60 72 84 96 108 120 V (KT) DSHP 26 26 25 24 21 19 16 16 18 18 V (KT) DSHP_BC 28 28 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 AERR (KT) PRED 5 7 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 AERR (KT) CLIM 5 8 10 11 12 12 12 12 12 12 BIAS PREDICTORS: ENS STDV (KT) 4.6 5.4 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 INIT 200MB DIV 24.0 24.0 24.0 24.0 24.0 24.0 24.0 24.0 24.0 24.0 INIT DTL (NMI) 1498.0 1498.0 1498.0 1498.0 1498.0 1498.0 1498.0 1498.0 1498.0 1498.0 ENSMN V (KT) -1.3 -0.3 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 AERR PREDICTORS: AVG LAT (N) 19.0 19.2 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 V (KT) DSHP 26.0 26.0 25.0 24.0 21.0 19.0 16.0 16.0 18.0 18.0 ENSMN V (KT) -1.3 -0.3 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 ENS STDV (KT) 4.6 5.4 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 * PRedicted Intensity Model Error (PRIME) * * AL092015 09/19/15 18 UTC * * LGEM * TIME (HR) 12 24 36 48 60 72 84 96 108 120 V (KT) LGEM 24 22 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 V (KT) LGEM_BC 29 28 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 AERR (KT) PRED 6 8 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 AERR (KT) CLIM 5 7 10 11 11 11 11 11 10 10 BIAS PREDICTORS: INIT DTL (NMI) 1498.0 1498.0 1498.0 1498.0 1498.0 1498.0 1498.0 1498.0 1498.0 1498.0 T=0 V (KT) LGEM 25.0 25.0 25.0 25.0 25.0 25.0 25.0 25.0 25.0 25.0 V (KT) LGEM 24.0 22.0 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 ENSMN V (KT) -3.3 -4.3 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 AERR PREDICTORS: AVG LAT (N) 19.0 19.2 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 ENS STDV (KT) 4.6 5.4 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 ENSMN V (KT) -3.3 -4.3 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 * PRedicted Intensity Model Error (PRIME) * * AL092015 09/19/15 18 UTC * * GHMI * TIME (HR) 12 24 36 48 60 72 84 96 108 120 V (KT) GHMI 25 23 21 18 16 13 -999 -999 -999 -999 V (KT) GHMI_BC 28 27 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 AERR (KT) PRED 5 7 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 AERR (KT) CLIM 5 7 8 10 10 10 10 11 11 11 BIAS PREDICTORS: T=0 V (KT) GHMI 25.0 25.0 25.0 25.0 25.0 25.0 25.0 25.0 25.0 25.0 V (KT) GHMI 25.0 23.0 21.0 18.0 16.0 13.0 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 ENSMN V (KT) -2.3 -3.3 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 AERR PREDICTORS: VMX CHANGE (KT) 0.0 -2.0 -4.0 -7.0 -9.0 -12.0 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 INIT LAT (N) 18.7 18.7 18.7 18.7 18.7 18.7 18.7 18.7 18.7 18.7 ENS STDV (KT) 4.6 5.4 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 AVG LAT (N) 19.0 19.2 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 ENSMN V (KT) -2.3 -3.3 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 * PRedicted Intensity Model Error (PRIME) * * AL092015 09/19/15 18 UTC * * HWFI * TIME (HR) 12 24 36 48 60 72 84 96 108 120 V (KT) HWFI 34 34 24 19 18 16 -999 -999 -999 -999 V (KT) HWFI_BC 31 33 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 AERR (KT) PRED 6 7 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 AERR (KT) CLIM 5 7 8 9 10 10 9 10 10 11 BIAS PREDICTORS: INIT DTL (NMI) 1498.0 1498.0 1498.0 1498.0 1498.0 1498.0 1498.0 1498.0 1498.0 1498.0 AVG LAT (N) 19.0 19.2 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 ENSMN V (KT) 6.8 7.8 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 AERR PREDICTORS: AVG LAT (N) 19.0 19.2 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 AVG MPI (KT) 144.3 146.6 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 STDEV BT (C) -10.5 -10.5 -10.5 -10.5 -10.5 -10.5 -10.5 -10.5 -10.5 -10.5 VMX CHANGE (KT) 9.0 9.0 -1.0 -6.0 -7.0 -9.0 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 T=0 V (KT) HWFI 25.0 25.0 25.0 25.0 25.0 25.0 25.0 25.0 25.0 25.0 V (KT) HWFI 34.0 34.0 24.0 19.0 18.0 16.0 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 ENSMN V (KT) 6.8 7.8 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 * PRedicted Intensity Model Error (PRIME) * * Corrected Consensus * ICON (KT) 27.2 26.2 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 CCON (KT) 26.8 26.2 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9