* PRedicted Intensity Model Error (PRIME) * * EP012016 06/08/16 06 UTC * * DSHP * FORECAST TIME (HR) 12 24 36 48 60 72 84 96 108 120 DSHP VMAX (KT) 24.0 26.0 26.0 27.0 27.0 27.0 27.0 27.0 27.0 27.0 DSHP VMAX BC (KT) 23.6 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 PRED DSHP AERR (KT) 3.5 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 CLIM DSHP AERR (KT) 4.9 8.0 9.0 9.7 10.6 11.3 10.6 10.7 11.4 11.5 PRED DSHP BIAS (KT) 0.4 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 CLIM DSHP BIAS (KT) -1.0 -1.0 -0.6 0.3 1.7 2.9 3.9 4.7 5.1 5.7 AERR PREDICTORS: FCST VMAX (KT) DSHP 24.0 26.0 26.0 27.0 27.0 27.0 27.0 27.0 27.0 27.0 DEV FR ENS MEAN (KT) 2.8 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 BIAS PREDICTORS: INIT DTL (KM) 7.0 7.0 7.0 7.0 7.0 7.0 7.0 7.0 7.0 7.0 AVG DTL (KM) -11.3 -26.2 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 DEV FR ENS MEAN (KT) 2.8 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 * PRedicted Intensity Model Error (PRIME) * * EP012016 06/08/16 06 UTC * * LGEM * FORECAST TIME (HR) 12 24 36 48 60 72 84 96 108 120 LGEM VMAX (KT) 24.0 26.0 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 LGEM VMAX BC (KT) 23.8 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 PRED LGEM AERR (KT) 5.5 8.6 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 CLIM LGEM AERR (KT) 5.1 7.8 9.3 9.8 10.1 10.4 10.7 10.0 9.5 9.9 PRED LGEM BIAS (KT) 0.2 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 CLIM LGEM BIAS (KT) -1.7 -3.3 -4.5 -4.8 -4.5 -4.2 -4.1 -3.9 -3.9 -3.9 AERR PREDICTORS: AVG DTL (KM) -11.3 -26.2 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 BIAS PREDICTORS: INIT DTL (KM) 7.0 7.0 7.0 7.0 7.0 7.0 7.0 7.0 7.0 7.0 DEV FR ENS MEAN (KT) 2.8 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 AVG DTL (KM) -11.3 -26.2 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 * PRedicted Intensity Model Error (PRIME) * * EP012016 06/08/16 06 UTC * * GHMI * FORECAST TIME (HR) 12 24 36 48 60 72 84 96 108 120 GHMI VMAX (KT) 19.0 15.0 14.0 14.0 14.0 11.0 11.0 10.0 -999.9 -999.9 GHMI VMAX BC (KT) 25.0 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 PRED GHMI AERR (KT) 5.8 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 CLIM GHMI AERR (KT) 5.9 8.9 11.2 12.5 12.8 13.6 13.7 12.2 10.1 9.0 PRED GHMI BIAS (KT) -6.0 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 CLIM GHMI BIAS (KT) -5.0 -8.6 -10.1 -9.9 -8.1 -5.7 -3.5 -1.5 -0.1 2.0 AERR PREDICTORS: AVG LAT (N) 16.2 16.3 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 AVG MPI (KT) 163.7 163.4 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 ENS STD DEV (KT) 3.2 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 DEV FR ENS MEAN (KT) -2.3 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 BIAS PREDICTORS: INIT LAT (N) 16.0 16.0 16.0 16.0 16.0 16.0 16.0 16.0 16.0 16.0 AVG LAT (N) 16.2 16.3 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 AVG 200MB DIV 60.0 65.0 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 DEV FR ENS MEAN (KT) -2.3 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 * PRedicted Intensity Model Error (PRIME) * * EP012016 06/08/16 06 UTC * * HWFI * FORECAST TIME (HR) 12 24 36 48 60 72 84 96 108 120 HWFI VMAX (KT) 18.0 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 HWFI VMAX BC (KT) 24.5 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 PRED HWFI AERR (KT) 5.8 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 CLIM HWFI AERR (KT) 5.1 7.9 9.7 10.8 11.6 11.3 12.3 11.6 10.6 10.3 PRED HWFI BIAS (KT) -6.5 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 CLIM HWFI BIAS (KT) -2.3 -4.2 -5.0 -3.9 -1.9 -0.6 0.2 1.4 1.9 3.3 AERR PREDICTORS: AVG MPI (KT) 163.7 163.4 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 FCST VMAX CHNGE (KT) -7.0 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 ENS STD DEV (KT) 3.2 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 DEV FR ENS MEAN (KT) -3.3 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 FCST VMAX (KT) HWFI 18.0 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 BIAS PREDICTORS: DEV FR ENS MEAN (KT) -3.3 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 * PRedicted Intensity Model Error (PRIME) * * Corrected Consensus * ICON (KT) 21.2 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 CCON (KT) 24.2 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 OBSERVED VMAX (KT) -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9