* PRedicted Intensity Model Error (PRIME) * * EP042016 07/21/16 06 UTC * * LGEM * FORECAST TIME (HR) 12 24 36 48 60 72 84 96 108 120 LGEM VMAX (KT) 35.0 38.0 39.0 39.0 37.0 33.0 26.0 19.0 -999.9 -999.9 LGEM VMAX BC (KT) -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 PRED LGEM AERR (KT) 4.9 7.4 8.2 8.1 9.0 9.3 9.6 8.7 8.2 9.0 CLIM LGEM AERR (KT) 5.1 7.8 9.3 9.8 10.1 10.4 10.7 10.0 9.5 9.9 PRED LGEM BIAS (KT) -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 CLIM LGEM BIAS (KT) -1.7 -3.3 -4.5 -4.8 -4.5 -4.2 -4.1 -3.9 -3.9 -3.9 AERR PREDICTORS: AVG DTL (KM) 1228.3 1316.8 1377.2 1477.3 1597.5 1640.0 1638.1 1624.2 1631.1 1670.8 BIAS PREDICTORS: INIT DTL (KM) 1095.0 1095.0 1095.0 1095.0 1095.0 1095.0 1095.0 1095.0 1095.0 1095.0 DEV FR ENS MEAN (KT) -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 AVG DTL (KM) 1228.3 1316.8 1377.2 1477.3 1597.5 1640.0 1638.1 1624.2 1631.1 1670.8 OBSERVED VMAX (KT) -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9 -999.9