Rapid Intensification Guidance

 AL132019 190927 00UTC
 Storm Located at           :     17.10     41.20
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:   125.


 Initial Conditions: 
 Predictor                Value    Favorable(F)/Unfavorable(U) 
 INTENSITY (VMAX) [kt]   125.00             U
 12-H DELTA VMAX  [kt]    15.00             F
 CORE SIZE        [km]     6.20             F
 CONVECTION <-50C [%]     96.00             F
 CONVECTION <-60C [%]     73.00             F
 IR CORE SYMMETRY [K]     10.00             F
 TC SIZE          [%]    109.00             N


 Forecast Conditions:
 Predictor              Value                                         Favorable(F)/Unfavor(U) 
                           6    12    18    24    30    36    42    48  6 12 18 24 30 36 42 48
 Wind Shear [kt]        26.3  28.0  23.9  23.6  28.5  32.5  35.0  35.4  N  N  N  N  N  U  U  U
 Ocean Heat [kJ/cm^2]    7.0  13.0  26.0  33.0  35.0  31.0  17.0  14.0  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U
 Potential [kt]         17.4  17.4  17.4  19.4  19.4  21.5  23.6  25.7 VU VU VU VU VU VU VU VU
 200mb Divg [10^6/s]   126.0  53.0 114.0  73.0  33.0  16.0  38.0  39.0  F  N  F  N  N  U  N  N
 Humidity 700-500 hPa   68.0  66.0  65.0  62.0  63.0  61.0  64.0  66.0  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N
 T Advectio [10^6 K/s]  26.3  28.0  23.9  23.6  28.5  32.5  35.0  35.4  N  N  N  N  N  U  U  U


    Probabilities[%] of Rapid intensification
 Thresholds   LDA-Method  LRE-Method  CONSENSUS
 20kt / 12h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 25kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 30kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 35kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 40kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 45kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 70kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 65kt / 72h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%