Rapid Intensification Guidance

 AL132019 190927 12UTC
 Storm Located at           :     19.00     42.70
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:   120.


 Initial Conditions: 
 Predictor                Value    Favorable(F)/Unfavorable(U) 
 INTENSITY (VMAX) [kt]   120.00             U
 12-H DELTA VMAX  [kt]    -5.00             U
 CORE SIZE        [km]     9.00             F
 CONVECTION <-50C [%]     86.00             F
 CONVECTION <-60C [%]     75.00             F
 IR CORE SYMMETRY [K]     10.00             F
 TC SIZE          [%]    103.00             N


 Forecast Conditions:
 Predictor              Value                                         Favorable(F)/Unfavor(U) 
                           6    12    18    24    30    36    42    48  6 12 18 24 30 36 42 48
 Wind Shear [kt]        26.1  24.3  27.3  31.4  32.9  33.0  31.5  32.6  N  N  N  U  U  U  U  U
 Ocean Heat [kJ/cm^2]   27.0  34.0  32.0  30.0  20.0  15.0  13.0  13.0  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U
 Potential [kt]         22.4  24.4  24.4  26.5  28.6  28.6  32.9  37.3 VU VU VU VU VU VU VU  U
 200mb Divg [10^6/s]    96.0  73.0  16.0  10.0  13.0  27.0  41.0  48.0  F  N  U  U  U  U  N  N
 Humidity 700-500 hPa   64.0  60.0  61.0  59.0  62.0  64.0  68.0  70.0  N  N  N  U  N  N  N  N
 T Advectio [10^6 K/s]  26.1  24.3  27.3  31.4  32.9  33.0  31.5  32.6  N  N  N  U  U  U  U  U


    Probabilities[%] of Rapid intensification
 Thresholds   LDA-Method  LRE-Method  CONSENSUS
 20kt / 12h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 25kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 30kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 35kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 40kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 45kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 70kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 65kt / 72h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%