Rapid Intensification Guidance

 AL132019 190929 00UTC
 Storm Located at           :     23.80     45.00
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:   130.


 Initial Conditions: 
 Predictor                Value    Favorable(F)/Unfavorable(U) 
 INTENSITY (VMAX) [kt]   130.00             U
 12-H DELTA VMAX  [kt]    30.00             F
 CORE SIZE        [km]     7.40             F
 CONVECTION <-50C [%]     93.00             F
 CONVECTION <-60C [%]     78.00             F
 IR CORE SYMMETRY [K]     10.00             F
 TC SIZE          [%]    115.00             N


 Forecast Conditions:
 Predictor              Value                                         Favorable(F)/Unfavor(U) 
                           6    12    18    24    30    36    42    48  6 12 18 24 30 36 42 48
 Wind Shear [kt]        30.4  34.2  33.1  28.7  27.0  25.2  23.4  26.0  N  U  U  N  N  N  N  N
 Ocean Heat [kJ/cm^2]   16.0  16.0  13.0  11.0  10.0   9.0  10.0   8.0  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U
 Potential [kt]         20.7  22.9  25.1  27.3  27.3  25.1  18.6  12.4 VU VU VU VU VU VU VU VU
 200mb Divg [10^6/s]    63.0  74.0 119.0  53.0  34.0  53.0  88.0  93.0  N  N  F  N  N  N  F  F
 Humidity 700-500 hPa   66.0  66.0  67.0  64.0  63.0  62.0  61.0  60.0  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N
 T Advectio [10^6 K/s]  30.4  34.2  33.1  28.7  27.0  25.2  23.4  26.0  N  U  U  N  N  N  N  N


    Probabilities[%] of Rapid intensification
 Thresholds   LDA-Method  LRE-Method  CONSENSUS
 20kt / 12h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 25kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 30kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 35kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 40kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 45kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 70kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 65kt / 72h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%