Rapid Intensification Guidance

 AL132019 190929 06UTC
 Storm Located at           :     24.70     44.70
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:   135.


 Initial Conditions: 
 Predictor                Value    Favorable(F)/Unfavorable(U) 
 INTENSITY (VMAX) [kt]   135.00             U
 12-H DELTA VMAX  [kt]    25.00             F
 CORE SIZE        [km]     5.80             F
 CONVECTION <-50C [%]     95.00             F
 CONVECTION <-60C [%]     77.00             F
 IR CORE SYMMETRY [K]     10.00             F
 TC SIZE          [%]    122.00             N


 Forecast Conditions:
 Predictor              Value                                         Favorable(F)/Unfavor(U) 
                           6    12    18    24    30    36    42    48  6 12 18 24 30 36 42 48
 Wind Shear [kt]        35.9  33.7  31.4  28.2  25.2  24.0  23.3  23.6  U  U  U  N  N  N  N  N
 Ocean Heat [kJ/cm^2]   15.0  13.0  11.0   9.0   9.0  10.0   7.0   2.0  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U
 Potential [kt]         17.9  22.3  22.3  22.3  17.9  11.5   5.5  -2.0 VU VU VU VU VU VU VU VU
 200mb Divg [10^6/s]    86.0 115.0  54.0  36.0  52.0 103.0 104.0 121.0  F  F  N  N  N  F  F  F
 Humidity 700-500 hPa   66.0  66.0  65.0  63.0  63.0  63.0  62.0  59.0  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  U
 T Advectio [10^6 K/s]  35.9  33.7  31.4  28.2  25.2  24.0  23.3  23.6  U  U  U  N  N  N  N  N


    Probabilities[%] of Rapid intensification
 Thresholds   LDA-Method  LRE-Method  CONSENSUS
 20kt / 12h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 25kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 30kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 35kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 40kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 45kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 70kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 65kt / 72h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%