Rapid Intensification Guidance

 AL142019 191014 06UTC
 Storm Located at           :     40.50     55.30
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:    35.


 Initial Conditions: 
 Predictor                Value    Favorable(F)/Unfavorable(U) 
 INTENSITY (VMAX) [kt]    35.00             F
 12-H DELTA VMAX  [kt]     0.00             N
 CORE SIZE        [km]    10.20             F
 CONVECTION <-50C [%]     14.00             U
 CONVECTION <-60C [%]      2.00             U
 IR CORE SYMMETRY [K]      1.90             F
 TC SIZE          [%]    121.00             N


 Forecast Conditions:
 Predictor              Value                                         Favorable(F)/Unfavor(U) 
                           6    12    18    24    30    36    42    48  6 12 18 24 30 36 42 48
 Wind Shear [kt]        30.6  34.8  40.0  41.6  48.8  55.5  55.5  55.5  U  U  U VU VU VU VU VU
 Ocean Heat [kJ/cm^2]    0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U
 Potential [kt]         56.7  40.4  35.2  43.4  37.7  39.1  39.1  39.1  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U
 200mb Divg [10^6/s]     4.0  -6.0  -4.0 -14.0 -15.0 -17.0 -17.0 -17.0  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U
 Humidity 700-500 hPa   36.0  36.0  34.0  34.0  34.0  31.0  31.0  31.0 VU VU VU VU VU VU VU VU
 T Advectio [10^6 K/s]  30.6  34.8  40.0  41.6  48.8  55.5  55.5  55.5  U  U  U VU VU VU VU VU


    Probabilities[%] of Rapid intensification
 Thresholds   LDA-Method  LRE-Method  CONSENSUS
 20kt / 12h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 25kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 30kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 35kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 40kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 45kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 70kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 65kt / 72h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%