Rapid Intensification Guidance

 AL202019 191122 06UTC
 Storm Located at           :     25.20     57.20
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:    50.


 Initial Conditions: 
 Predictor                Value    Favorable(F)/Unfavorable(U) 
 INTENSITY (VMAX) [kt]    50.00             N
 12-H DELTA VMAX  [kt]     0.00             N
 CORE SIZE        [km]     2.60             F
 CONVECTION <-50C [%]     64.00             N
 CONVECTION <-60C [%]     57.00             N
 IR CORE SYMMETRY [K]      7.40             F
 TC SIZE          [%]    106.00             N


 Forecast Conditions:
 Predictor              Value                                         Favorable(F)/Unfavor(U) 
                           6    12    18    24    30    36    42    48  6 12 18 24 30 36 42 48
 Wind Shear [kt]        60.0  59.1  58.9  61.3  58.6  49.3  46.2  43.2 VU VU VU VU VU VU VU VU
 Ocean Heat [kJ/cm^2]    1.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U
 Potential [kt]         74.3  68.0  59.4  51.7  47.0  40.7  34.1  27.6  U  U  U  U  U  U VU VU
 200mb Divg [10^6/s]    32.0   3.0   8.0 -16.0  44.0  53.0  44.0  24.0  N  U  U  U  N  N  N  U
 Humidity 700-500 hPa   32.0  30.0  29.0  29.0  30.0  35.0  41.0  46.0 VU VU VU VU VU VU VU VU
 T Advectio [10^6 K/s]  60.0  59.1  58.9  61.3  58.6  49.3  46.2  43.2 VU VU VU VU VU VU VU VU


    Probabilities[%] of Rapid intensification
 Thresholds   LDA-Method  LRE-Method  CONSENSUS
 20kt / 12h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 25kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 30kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 35kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 40kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 45kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 70kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 65kt / 72h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%