Rapid Intensification Guidance

 AL202019 191122 12UTC
 Storm Located at           :     24.80     55.90
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:    50.


 Initial Conditions: 
 Predictor                Value    Favorable(F)/Unfavorable(U) 
 INTENSITY (VMAX) [kt]    50.00             N
 12-H DELTA VMAX  [kt]     0.00             N
 CORE SIZE        [km]     8.20             F
 CONVECTION <-50C [%]     12.00            VU
 CONVECTION <-60C [%]      8.00             U
 IR CORE SYMMETRY [K]      2.30             F
 TC SIZE          [%]     92.00             N


 Forecast Conditions:
 Predictor              Value                                         Favorable(F)/Unfavor(U) 
                           6    12    18    24    30    36    42    48  6 12 18 24 30 36 42 48
 Wind Shear [kt]        58.5  59.8  63.5  62.6  54.3  48.4  43.6  44.3 VU VU VU VU VU VU VU VU
 Ocean Heat [kJ/cm^2]    3.0   3.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U
 Potential [kt]         77.7  72.7  68.0  62.2  56.7  52.9  49.3  45.9  N  U  U  U  U  U  U  U
 200mb Divg [10^6/s]    23.0  28.0  19.0  52.0  44.0  60.0  30.0  30.0  U  U  U  N  N  N  N  N
 Humidity 700-500 hPa   33.0  34.0  35.0  35.0  39.0  41.0  48.0  52.0 VU VU VU VU VU VU  U  U
 T Advectio [10^6 K/s]  58.5  59.8  63.5  62.6  54.3  48.4  43.6  44.3 VU VU VU VU VU VU VU VU


    Probabilities[%] of Rapid intensification
 Thresholds   LDA-Method  LRE-Method  CONSENSUS
 20kt / 12h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 25kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 30kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 35kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 40kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 45kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 70kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 65kt / 72h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%