Rapid Intensification Guidance

 AL202019 191123 12UTC
 Storm Located at           :     29.50     48.50
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:    55.


 Initial Conditions: 
 Predictor                Value    Favorable(F)/Unfavorable(U) 
 INTENSITY (VMAX) [kt]    55.00             N
 12-H DELTA VMAX  [kt]     0.00             N
 CORE SIZE        [km]     6.60             F
 CONVECTION <-50C [%]      1.00            VU
 CONVECTION <-60C [%]      0.00             U
 IR CORE SYMMETRY [K]      4.80             F
 TC SIZE          [%]     99.00             N


 Forecast Conditions:
 Predictor              Value                                         Favorable(F)/Unfavor(U) 
                           6    12    18    24    30    36    42    48  6 12 18 24 30 36 42 48
 Wind Shear [kt]        40.9  39.2  42.9  43.3  39.3  43.6  40.9  43.6 VU  U VU VU  U VU VU VU
 Ocean Heat [kJ/cm^2]    0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U
 Potential [kt]         40.9  34.7  28.3  22.6  20.4  14.6  10.1   7.7  U VU VU VU VU VU VU VU
 200mb Divg [10^6/s]    23.0  44.0  63.0  28.0 -16.0   2.0  23.0   9.0  U  N  N  U  U  U  U  U
 Humidity 700-500 hPa   44.0  46.0  51.0  48.0  48.0  44.0  45.0  48.0 VU VU  U  U  U VU VU  U
 T Advectio [10^6 K/s]  40.9  39.2  42.9  43.3  39.3  43.6  40.9  43.6 VU  U VU VU  U VU VU VU


    Probabilities[%] of Rapid intensification
 Thresholds   LDA-Method  LRE-Method  CONSENSUS
 20kt / 12h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 25kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 30kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 35kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 40kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 45kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 70kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 65kt / 72h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%