Rapid Intensification Guidance

 AL202019 191124 12UTC
 Storm Located at           :     36.50     38.70
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:    55.


 Initial Conditions: 
 Predictor                Value    Favorable(F)/Unfavorable(U) 
 INTENSITY (VMAX) [kt]    55.00             N
 12-H DELTA VMAX  [kt]     0.00             N
 CORE SIZE        [km]     3.80             F
 CONVECTION <-50C [%]      0.00            VU
 CONVECTION <-60C [%]      0.00             U
 IR CORE SYMMETRY [K]      4.70             F
 TC SIZE          [%]    122.00             N


 Forecast Conditions:
 Predictor              Value                                         Favorable(F)/Unfavor(U) 
                           6    12    18    24    30    36    42    48  6 12 18 24 30 36 42 48
 Wind Shear [kt]        53.4  57.7  60.6  60.7  56.8  45.1  24.1  14.9 VU VU VU VU VU VU  N  F
 Ocean Heat [kJ/cm^2]    0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U
 Potential [kt]         11.7   8.7   2.0  -3.7  -6.6  -8.9 -10.2 -11.4 VU VU VU VU VU VU VU VU
 200mb Divg [10^6/s]    50.0  21.0 -10.0  20.0  38.0  34.0  13.0  22.0  N  U  U  U  N  N  U  U
 Humidity 700-500 hPa   41.0  37.0  41.0  50.0  49.0  53.0  56.0  65.0 VU VU VU  U  U  U  U  N
 T Advectio [10^6 K/s]  53.4  57.7  60.6  60.7  56.8  45.1  24.1  14.9 VU VU VU VU VU VU  N  F


    Probabilities[%] of Rapid intensification
 Thresholds   LDA-Method  LRE-Method  CONSENSUS
 20kt / 12h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 25kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 30kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 35kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 40kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 45kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 70kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 65kt / 72h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%