Rapid Intensification Guidance

 EP112019 190906 00UTC
 Storm Located at           :     21.50    121.30
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:    80.


 Initial Conditions: 
 Predictor                Value    Favorable(F)/Unfavorable(U) 
 INTENSITY (VMAX) [kt]    80.00             N
 12-H DELTA VMAX  [kt]     0.00             N
 CORE SIZE        [km]     7.00             F
 CONVECTION <-50C [%]     58.00             N
 CONVECTION <-60C [%]     33.00             N
 IR CORE SYMMETRY [K]      9.70             F
 TC SIZE          [%]     91.00             N


 Forecast Conditions:
 Predictor              Value                                         Favorable(F)/Unfavor(U) 
                           6    12    18    24    30    36    42    48  6 12 18 24 30 36 42 48
 Wind Shear [kt]        15.6  18.1  17.1  14.0  12.5  14.8  18.0  18.6  F  F  F  F  F  F  F  N
 Ocean Heat [kJ/cm^2]    0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U
 Potential [kt]         14.8  10.7   9.7   7.8   5.0   4.1   5.9   7.8 VU VU VU VU VU VU VU VU
 200mb Divg [10^6/s]   -33.0 -37.0 -39.0 -22.0   0.0  14.0  12.0  -5.0 VU VU VU VU  U  U  U  U
 Humidity 700-500 hPa   43.0  43.0  42.0  41.0  39.0  38.0  35.0  34.0 VU VU VU VU VU VU VU VU
 T Advectio [10^6 K/s]  15.6  18.1  17.1  14.0  12.5  14.8  18.0  18.6  F  F  F  F  F  F  F  N


    Probabilities[%] of Rapid intensification
 Thresholds   LDA-Method  LRE-Method  CONSENSUS
 20kt / 12h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 25kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 30kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 35kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 40kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 45kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 70kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 65kt / 72h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%