Rapid Intensification Guidance

 IO032019 190924 12UTC
 Storm Located at           :     19.90     58.40
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:    75.


 Initial Conditions: 
 Predictor                Value    Favorable(F)/Unfavorable(U) 
 INTENSITY (VMAX) [kt]    75.00             N
 12-H DELTA VMAX  [kt]   -10.00             U
 CORE SIZE        [km]     5.80             F
 CONVECTION <-50C [%]     41.00             U
 CONVECTION <-60C [%]     21.00             U
 IR CORE SYMMETRY [K]      7.10             F
 TC SIZE          [%]     50.00             F


 Forecast Conditions:
 Predictor              Value                                         Favorable(F)/Unfavor(U) 
                           6    12    18    24    30    36    42    48  6 12 18 24 30 36 42 48
 Wind Shear [kt]        26.4  24.5  25.5  28.3  30.2  29.9  29.1  31.7  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  U
 Ocean Heat [kJ/cm^2]    0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U
 Potential [kt]         26.7  18.8  18.8  15.7  12.8  12.8  10.9   3.4 VU VU VU VU VU VU VU VU
 200mb Divg [10^6/s]   -12.0 -39.0 -41.0 -13.0  -1.0  -3.0 -31.0 -40.0  U VU VU  U  U  U VU VU
 Humidity 700-500 hPa   38.0  39.0  38.0  36.0  36.0  35.0  41.0  45.0 VU VU VU VU VU VU VU VU
 T Advectio [10^6 K/s]  26.4  24.5  25.5  28.3  30.2  29.9  29.1  31.7  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  U


    Probabilities[%] of Rapid intensification
 Thresholds   LDA-Method  LRE-Method  CONSENSUS
 20kt / 12h        0.1%        0.1%        0.1%
 25kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 30kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 35kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 40kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 45kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 70kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 65kt / 72h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%