Rapid Intensification Guidance

 IO032019 190924 18UTC
 Storm Located at           :     19.70     57.00
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:    60.


 Initial Conditions: 
 Predictor                Value    Favorable(F)/Unfavorable(U) 
 INTENSITY (VMAX) [kt]    60.00             N
 12-H DELTA VMAX  [kt]   -20.00             U
 CORE SIZE        [km]     3.00             F
 CONVECTION <-50C [%]     16.00             U
 CONVECTION <-60C [%]      7.00             U
 IR CORE SYMMETRY [K]      8.00             F
 TC SIZE          [%]     48.00             F


 Forecast Conditions:
 Predictor              Value                                         Favorable(F)/Unfavor(U) 
                           6    12    18    24    30    36    42    48  6 12 18 24 30 36 42 48
 Wind Shear [kt]        25.5  26.8  28.1  29.9  26.2  25.1  26.3  33.9  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  U
 Ocean Heat [kJ/cm^2]    0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U
 Potential [kt]         30.7  30.7  25.9  23.3  25.0  25.9  20.0  10.8 VU VU VU VU VU VU VU VU
 200mb Divg [10^6/s]   -29.0 -35.0 -23.0 -10.0  -7.0 -38.0 -54.0 -30.0 VU VU VU  U  U VU VU VU
 Humidity 700-500 hPa   39.0  35.0  35.0  37.0  37.0  40.0  42.0  47.0 VU VU VU VU VU VU VU VU
 T Advectio [10^6 K/s]  25.5  26.8  28.1  29.9  26.2  25.1  26.3  33.9  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  U


    Probabilities[%] of Rapid intensification
 Thresholds   LDA-Method  LRE-Method  CONSENSUS
 20kt / 12h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 25kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 30kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 35kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 40kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 45kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 70kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 65kt / 72h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%