Rapid Intensification Guidance

 IO052019 191104 06UTC
 Storm Located at           :     18.50     64.40
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:   100.


 Initial Conditions: 
 Predictor                Value    Favorable(F)/Unfavorable(U) 
 INTENSITY (VMAX) [kt]   100.00             U
 12-H DELTA VMAX  [kt]     5.00             N
 CORE SIZE        [km]     6.60             F
 CONVECTION <-50C [%]     30.00             U
 CONVECTION <-60C [%]      7.00             U
 IR CORE SYMMETRY [K]      9.40             F
 TC SIZE          [%]     64.00             F


 Forecast Conditions:
 Predictor              Value                                         Favorable(F)/Unfavor(U) 
                           6    12    18    24    30    36    42    48  6 12 18 24 30 36 42 48
 Wind Shear [kt]        16.8  20.8  26.2  27.3  28.9  36.4  46.8  48.2  F  N  N  N  N  U VU VU
 Ocean Heat [kJ/cm^2]    1.0   1.0   1.0   1.0   1.0  11.0  13.0  16.0  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U
 Potential [kt]         24.3  22.7  21.1  21.1  24.3  33.0  42.4  52.9 VU VU VU VU VU VU  U  U
 200mb Divg [10^6/s]    12.0  -6.0 -13.0 -14.0  -4.0  -1.0 -21.0 -17.0  U  U  U  U  U  U VU  U
 Humidity 700-500 hPa   35.0  33.0  36.0  36.0  37.0  35.0  38.0  39.0 VU VU VU VU VU VU VU VU
 T Advectio [10^6 K/s]  16.8  20.8  26.2  27.3  28.9  36.4  46.8  48.2  F  N  N  N  N  U VU VU


    Probabilities[%] of Rapid intensification
 Thresholds   LDA-Method  LRE-Method  CONSENSUS
 20kt / 12h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 25kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 30kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 35kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 40kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 45kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 70kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 65kt / 72h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%