Rapid Intensification Guidance

 IO052019 191104 18UTC
 Storm Located at           :     19.40     63.60
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:   105.


 Initial Conditions: 
 Predictor                Value    Favorable(F)/Unfavorable(U) 
 INTENSITY (VMAX) [kt]   105.00             U
 12-H DELTA VMAX  [kt]     5.00             N
 CORE SIZE        [km]     5.00             F
 CONVECTION <-50C [%]     35.00             U
 CONVECTION <-60C [%]     18.00             U
 IR CORE SYMMETRY [K]      8.10             F
 TC SIZE          [%]     51.00             F


 Forecast Conditions:
 Predictor              Value                                         Favorable(F)/Unfavor(U) 
                           6    12    18    24    30    36    42    48  6 12 18 24 30 36 42 48
 Wind Shear [kt]        27.2  29.6  34.6  39.4  47.4  50.0  50.6  48.2  N  N  U  U VU VU VU VU
 Ocean Heat [kJ/cm^2]    1.0   1.0   1.0   8.0  10.0  11.0  20.0  29.0  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U
 Potential [kt]         14.6  17.7  24.4  31.6  35.5  41.5  52.3  60.0 VU VU VU VU  U  U  U  U
 200mb Divg [10^6/s]     0.0  -7.0   4.0 -14.0 -11.0 -10.0 -15.0 -33.0  U  U  U  U  U  U  U VU
 Humidity 700-500 hPa   38.0  38.0  41.0  40.0  40.0  38.0  36.0  36.0 VU VU VU VU VU VU VU VU
 T Advectio [10^6 K/s]  27.2  29.6  34.6  39.4  47.4  50.0  50.6  48.2  N  N  U  U VU VU VU VU


    Probabilities[%] of Rapid intensification
 Thresholds   LDA-Method  LRE-Method  CONSENSUS
 20kt / 12h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 25kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 30kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 35kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 40kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 45kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 70kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 65kt / 72h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%