Rapid Intensification Guidance

 WP112019 190815 18UTC
 Storm Located at           :     37.70    134.00
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:    35.


 Initial Conditions: 
 Predictor                Value    Favorable(F)/Unfavorable(U) 
 INTENSITY (VMAX) [kt]    35.00             F
 12-H DELTA VMAX  [kt]   -10.00             U
 CORE SIZE        [km]     8.60             F
 CONVECTION <-50C [%]      0.00            VU
 CONVECTION <-60C [%]      0.00             U
 IR CORE SYMMETRY [K]      2.30             F
 TC SIZE          [%]    148.00             U


 Forecast Conditions:
 Predictor              Value                                         Favorable(F)/Unfavor(U) 
                           6    12    18    24    30    36    42    48  6 12 18 24 30 36 42 48
 Wind Shear [kt]        25.7  31.7  33.1  37.9  43.2  47.9  43.7  40.2  N  U  U  U VU VU VU  U
 Ocean Heat [kJ/cm^2]    1.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U
 Potential [kt]        101.6  54.7  41.2  36.4  34.0  28.7  20.6  24.7  N  U  U  U VU VU VU VU
 200mb Divg [10^6/s]    61.0  65.0  56.0  79.0  65.0  43.0   7.0   0.0  N  N  N  N  N  N  U  U
 Humidity 700-500 hPa   74.0  73.0  75.0  74.0  66.0  55.0  45.0  37.0  N  N  F  N  N  U VU VU
 T Advectio [10^6 K/s]  25.7  31.7  33.1  37.9  43.2  47.9  43.7  40.2  N  U  U  U VU VU VU  U


    Probabilities[%] of Rapid intensification
 Thresholds   LDA-Method  LRE-Method  CONSENSUS
 20kt / 12h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 25kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 30kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 35kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 40kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 45kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 70kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 65kt / 72h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%