Rapid Intensification Guidance

 AL032020 200608 12UTC
 Storm Located at           :     31.80     91.60
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:    30.


 Initial Conditions: 
 Predictor                Value    Favorable(F)/Unfavorable(U) 
 INTENSITY (VMAX) [kt]    30.00             F
 12-H DELTA VMAX  [kt]   -15.00             U
 CORE SIZE        [km]     2.60             F
 CONVECTION <-50C [%]     11.00            VU
 CONVECTION <-60C [%]      2.00             U
 IR CORE SYMMETRY [K]      4.00             F
 TC SIZE          [%]    123.00             N


 Forecast Conditions:
 Predictor              Value                                         Favorable(F)/Unfavor(U) 
                           6    12    18    24    30    36    42    48  6 12 18 24 30 36 42 48
 Wind Shear [kt]        18.2  18.2  23.7  24.2  30.7  25.7  33.3  41.7  F  F  N  N  U  N  U VU
 Ocean Heat [kJ/cm^2]    1.0   1.0   3.0   3.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U
 Potential [kt]         52.4  40.2  29.7  23.2  16.8  13.1  10.8   9.5  U  U VU VU VU VU VU VU
 200mb Divg [10^6/s]    58.0  75.0  51.0  31.0  97.0  80.0  36.0 -29.0  N  N  N  N  F  N  N VU
 Humidity 700-500 hPa   43.0  46.0  42.0  46.0  48.0  53.0  55.0  60.0 VU VU VU VU  U  U  U  N
 T Advectio [10^6 K/s]  18.2  18.2  23.7  24.2  30.7  25.7  33.3  41.7  F  F  N  N  U  N  U VU


    Probabilities[%] of Rapid intensification
 Thresholds   LDA-Method  LRE-Method  CONSENSUS
 20kt / 12h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 25kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 30kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 35kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 40kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 45kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 70kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 65kt / 72h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%