Rapid Intensification Guidance

 AL042020 200623 06UTC
 Storm Located at           :     39.00     64.00
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:    30.


 Initial Conditions: 
 Predictor                Value    Favorable(F)/Unfavorable(U) 
 INTENSITY (VMAX) [kt]    30.00             F
 12-H DELTA VMAX  [kt]     0.00             N
 CORE SIZE        [km]    11.80             F
 CONVECTION <-50C [%]     15.00             U
 CONVECTION <-60C [%]      0.00             U
 IR CORE SYMMETRY [K]      4.70             F
 TC SIZE          [%]    125.00             N


 Forecast Conditions:
 Predictor              Value                                         Favorable(F)/Unfavor(U) 
                           6    12    18    24    30    36    42    48  6 12 18 24 30 36 42 48
 Wind Shear [kt]        16.1  16.2  23.5  23.7  25.1  27.5  29.4  32.7  F  F  N  N  N  N  N  U
 Ocean Heat [kJ/cm^2]    0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U
 Potential [kt]         65.9  54.1  39.6  31.3  23.2  17.3  14.4  12.6  U  U  U VU VU VU VU VU
 200mb Divg [10^6/s]     1.0   6.0  -3.0 -15.0 -24.0   7.0 -19.0 -57.0  U  U  U  U VU  U  U VU
 Humidity 700-500 hPa   62.0  60.0  58.0  59.0  57.0  56.0  54.0  56.0  N  N  U  U  U  U  U  U
 T Advectio [10^6 K/s]  16.1  16.2  23.5  23.7  25.1  27.5  29.4  32.7  F  F  N  N  N  N  N  U


    Probabilities[%] of Rapid intensification
 Thresholds   LDA-Method  LRE-Method  CONSENSUS
 20kt / 12h        0.0%        0.1%        0.0%
 25kt / 24h        0.0%        0.1%        0.0%
 30kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 35kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 40kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 45kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 70kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 65kt / 72h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%