Rapid Intensification Guidance

 AL052020 200706 00UTC
 Storm Located at           :     36.40     58.50
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:    35.


 Initial Conditions: 
 Predictor                Value    Favorable(F)/Unfavorable(U) 
 INTENSITY (VMAX) [kt]    35.00             F
 12-H DELTA VMAX  [kt]     5.00             N
 CORE SIZE        [km]    10.60             F
 CONVECTION <-50C [%]     29.00             U
 CONVECTION <-60C [%]     24.00             U
 IR CORE SYMMETRY [K]      3.80             F
 TC SIZE          [%]    131.00             U


 Forecast Conditions:
 Predictor              Value                                         Favorable(F)/Unfavor(U) 
                           6    12    18    24    30    36    42    48  6 12 18 24 30 36 42 48
 Wind Shear [kt]        33.2  34.7  36.7  35.7  38.3  46.5  54.1  70.9  U  U  U  U  U VU VU VU
 Ocean Heat [kJ/cm^2]    0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U
 Potential [kt]         47.4  50.9  35.8  29.1  19.3  13.2  10.4   9.7  U  U  U VU VU VU VU VU
 200mb Divg [10^6/s]    36.0  27.0  43.0  60.0  31.0  54.0  53.0  57.0  N  U  N  N  N  N  N  N
 Humidity 700-500 hPa   62.0  63.0  58.0  56.0  54.0  51.0  47.0  46.0  N  N  U  U  U  U VU VU
 T Advectio [10^6 K/s]  33.2  34.7  36.7  35.7  38.3  46.5  54.1  70.9  U  U  U  U  U VU VU VU


    Probabilities[%] of Rapid intensification
 Thresholds   LDA-Method  LRE-Method  CONSENSUS
 20kt / 12h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 25kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 30kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 35kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 40kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 45kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 70kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 65kt / 72h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%