Rapid Intensification Guidance

 AL052020 200706 06UTC
 Storm Located at           :     38.10     55.30
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:    35.


 Initial Conditions: 
 Predictor                Value    Favorable(F)/Unfavorable(U) 
 INTENSITY (VMAX) [kt]    35.00             F
 12-H DELTA VMAX  [kt]     5.00             N
 CORE SIZE        [km]    10.20             F
 CONVECTION <-50C [%]     20.00             U
 CONVECTION <-60C [%]     16.00             U
 IR CORE SYMMETRY [K]      2.60             F
 TC SIZE          [%]    140.00             U


 Forecast Conditions:
 Predictor              Value                                         Favorable(F)/Unfavor(U) 
                           6    12    18    24    30    36    42    48  6 12 18 24 30 36 42 48
 Wind Shear [kt]        34.5  36.9  38.3  45.3  54.3  57.4  69.4  76.4  U  U  U VU VU VU VU VU
 Ocean Heat [kJ/cm^2]    0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U
 Potential [kt]         49.1  34.6  25.9  17.9  12.7  10.0   9.8   9.7  U VU VU VU VU VU VU VU
 200mb Divg [10^6/s]    30.0  26.0  59.0  45.0  78.0  72.0  47.0   5.0  N  U  N  N  N  N  N  U
 Humidity 700-500 hPa   63.0  58.0  57.0  54.0  51.0  48.0  46.0  46.0  N  U  U  U  U  U VU VU
 T Advectio [10^6 K/s]  34.5  36.9  38.3  45.3  54.3  57.4  69.4  76.4  U  U  U VU VU VU VU VU


    Probabilities[%] of Rapid intensification
 Thresholds   LDA-Method  LRE-Method  CONSENSUS
 20kt / 12h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 25kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 30kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 35kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 40kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 45kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 70kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 65kt / 72h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%