Rapid Intensification Guidance

 AL132020 200827 12UTC
 Storm Located at           :     31.20     93.30
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:    85.


 Initial Conditions: 
 Predictor                Value    Favorable(F)/Unfavorable(U) 
 INTENSITY (VMAX) [kt]    85.00             N
 12-H DELTA VMAX  [kt]   -45.00             U
 CORE SIZE        [km]     4.20             F
 CONVECTION <-50C [%]     53.00             N
 CONVECTION <-60C [%]     23.00             U
 IR CORE SYMMETRY [K]      9.80             F
 TC SIZE          [%]    119.00             N


 Forecast Conditions:
 Predictor              Value                                         Favorable(F)/Unfavor(U) 
                           6    12    18    24    36    48    60    72  6 12 18 24 36 48 60 72
 Wind Shear [kt]        34.3  22.6  23.1  24.0  30.8  30.5  50.9  77.6  U  N  N  N  U  N VU VU
 Ocean Heat [kJ/cm^2]    6.0   6.0   4.0   4.0   4.0   3.0   0.0   0.0  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U
 Potential [kt]         74.6  51.6  42.7  34.6  24.4  33.0  10.9 -15.4  U  U  U VU VU VU VU VU
 200mb Divg [10^6/s]    37.0  40.0  49.0  36.0  58.0  23.0  56.0 132.0  N  N  N  N  N  U  N  F
 Humidity 700-500 hPa   57.0  58.0  58.0  59.0  64.0  63.0  46.0  43.0  U  U  U  U  N  N VU VU
 T Advectio [10^6 K/s]   9.0  12.0  24.0  13.0  48.0   9.0  -2.0  53.0  U  U VU  U VU  U  N VU


    Probabilities[%] of Rapid intensification
 Thresholds   LDA-Method  LRE-Method  CONSENSUS
 20kt / 12h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 25kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 30kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 35kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 40kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 45kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 70kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 65kt / 72h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%