Rapid Intensification Guidance

 AL132020 200828 00UTC
 Storm Located at           :     34.40     92.50
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:    35.


 Initial Conditions: 
 Predictor                Value    Favorable(F)/Unfavorable(U) 
 INTENSITY (VMAX) [kt]    35.00             F
 12-H DELTA VMAX  [kt]   -50.00             U
 CORE SIZE        [km]    11.40             F
 CONVECTION <-50C [%]      0.00            VU
 CONVECTION <-60C [%]      0.00             U
 IR CORE SYMMETRY [K]      5.60             F
 TC SIZE          [%]    139.00             U


 Forecast Conditions:
 Predictor              Value                                         Favorable(F)/Unfavor(U) 
                           6    12    18    24    36    48    60    72  6 12 18 24 36 48 60 72
 Wind Shear [kt]        27.2  29.2  25.3  30.8  29.9  42.7  62.8  95.9  N  N  N  U  N VU VU VU
 Ocean Heat [kJ/cm^2]    4.0   4.0   4.0   4.0   3.0   0.0   0.0   0.0  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U
 Potential [kt]         84.6  75.8  74.4  75.8  81.5  58.8  34.6  24.7  N  U  U  U  N  U VU VU
 200mb Divg [10^6/s]    21.0  17.0  54.0  67.0  24.0  29.0  90.0  64.0  U  U  N  N  U  N  F  N
 Humidity 700-500 hPa   57.0  61.0  63.0  65.0  65.0  56.0  51.0  52.0  U  N  N  N  N  U  U  U
 T Advectio [10^6 K/s]  19.0  19.0  13.0  47.0  20.0  11.0  31.0 -60.0 VU VU  U VU VU  U VU VF


    Probabilities[%] of Rapid intensification
 Thresholds   LDA-Method  LRE-Method  CONSENSUS
 20kt / 12h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 25kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 30kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 35kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 40kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 45kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 70kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 65kt / 72h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
Decapatation Guidance NOT VALID
Thermodyanmic Conditions Unfavorable for Intense Typhoons