Rapid Intensification Guidance

 AL132020 200828 06UTC
 Storm Located at           :     35.40     92.00
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:    25.


 Initial Conditions: 
 Predictor                Value    Favorable(F)/Unfavorable(U) 
 INTENSITY (VMAX) [kt]    25.00             F
 12-H DELTA VMAX  [kt]   -30.00             U
 CORE SIZE        [km]    10.20             F
 CONVECTION <-50C [%]      1.00            VU
 CONVECTION <-60C [%]      0.00             U
 IR CORE SYMMETRY [K]      5.80             F
 TC SIZE          [%]    143.00             U


 Forecast Conditions:
 Predictor              Value                                         Favorable(F)/Unfavor(U) 
                           6    12    18    24    36    48    60    72  6 12 18 24 36 48 60 72
 Wind Shear [kt]        28.0  19.0  29.3  34.6  36.1  42.4  83.1  59.2  N  N  N  U  U VU VU VU
 Ocean Heat [kJ/cm^2]    4.0   4.0   4.0   5.0   3.0   0.0   0.0   0.0  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U
 Potential [kt]         91.5  88.6  87.2  90.0  93.0  75.5  37.7  38.7  N  N  N  N  N  U  U  U
 200mb Divg [10^6/s]    27.0  38.0  51.0  10.0  43.0   8.0  60.0  21.0  U  N  N  U  N  U  N  U
 Humidity 700-500 hPa   58.0  58.0  63.0  65.0  61.0  54.0  53.0  52.0  U  U  N  N  N  U  U  U
 T Advectio [10^6 K/s]  10.0   1.0  44.0  29.0  45.0-102.0 -44.0 -36.0  U  N VU VU VU VF VF VF


    Probabilities[%] of Rapid intensification
 Thresholds   LDA-Method  LRE-Method  CONSENSUS
 20kt / 12h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 25kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 30kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 35kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 40kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 45kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 70kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 65kt / 72h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
Decapatation Guidance NOT VALID
Thermodyanmic Conditions Unfavorable for Intense Typhoons