Rapid Intensification Guidance

 AL132020 200828 18UTC
 Storm Located at           :     37.00     90.00
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:    25.


 Initial Conditions: 
 Predictor                Value    Favorable(F)/Unfavorable(U) 
 INTENSITY (VMAX) [kt]    25.00             F
 12-H DELTA VMAX  [kt]     0.00             N
 CORE SIZE        [km]     3.00             F
 CONVECTION <-50C [%]      0.00            VU
 CONVECTION <-60C [%]      0.00             U
 IR CORE SYMMETRY [K]      4.30             F
 TC SIZE          [%]    126.00             N


 Forecast Conditions:
 Predictor              Value                                         Favorable(F)/Unfavor(U) 
                           6    12    18    24    36    48    60    72  6 12 18 24 36 48 60 72
 Wind Shear [kt]        30.2  33.3  28.0  36.4  46.2  48.3  65.1  51.1  N  U  N  U VU VU VU VU
 Ocean Heat [kJ/cm^2]    4.0   5.0   3.0   3.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U
 Potential [kt]         80.4  81.7  90.0  88.6  67.7  61.8  31.3  18.0  N  N  N  N  U  U VU VU
 200mb Divg [10^6/s]    48.0  17.0  23.0   6.0  11.0 -21.0  30.0  29.0  N  U  U  U  U VU  N  N
 Humidity 700-500 hPa   60.0  57.0  56.0  50.0  46.0  43.0  50.0  49.0  N  U  U  U VU VU  U  U
 T Advectio [10^6 K/s]  54.0  35.0   4.0  31.0-132.0 -56.0 -55.0 -66.0 VU VU  N VU VF VF VF VF


    Probabilities[%] of Rapid intensification
 Thresholds   LDA-Method  LRE-Method  CONSENSUS
 20kt / 12h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 25kt / 24h        0.0%        0.1%        0.0%
 30kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 35kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 40kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 45kt / 36h        0.0%        0.1%        0.1%
 55kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 70kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 65kt / 72h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
Decapatation Guidance NOT VALID
Thermodyanmic Conditions Unfavorable for Intense Typhoons