Rapid Intensification Guidance

 AL132020 200829 00UTC
 Storm Located at           :     37.50     88.20
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:    25.


 Initial Conditions: 
 Predictor                Value    Favorable(F)/Unfavorable(U) 
 INTENSITY (VMAX) [kt]    25.00             F
 12-H DELTA VMAX  [kt]     0.00             N
 CORE SIZE        [km]     2.20             F
 CONVECTION <-50C [%]      0.00            VU
 CONVECTION <-60C [%]      0.00             U
 IR CORE SYMMETRY [K]      2.70             F
 TC SIZE          [%]    136.00             U


 Forecast Conditions:
 Predictor              Value                                         Favorable(F)/Unfavor(U) 
                           6    12    18    24    36    48    60    72  6 12 18 24 36 48 60 72
 Wind Shear [kt]        33.0  30.0  37.9  47.2  60.0  72.8  63.2  47.9  U  N  U VU VU VU VU VU
 Ocean Heat [kJ/cm^2]    4.0   3.0   3.0   2.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U
 Potential [kt]         84.4  80.4  79.2  66.7  38.7  33.5  25.6  18.1  N  N  N  U  U VU VU VU
 200mb Divg [10^6/s]     6.0  18.0  10.0  27.0 -11.0 110.0  17.0  22.0  U  U  U  U  U  F  U  U
 Humidity 700-500 hPa   60.0  58.0  49.0  44.0  48.0  49.0  48.0  47.0  N  U  U VU  U  U  U VU
 T Advectio [10^6 K/s]  29.0 -26.0  21.0 -22.0-131.0-118.0 -62.0 -50.0 VU VF VU VF VF VF VF VF


    Probabilities[%] of Rapid intensification
 Thresholds   LDA-Method  LRE-Method  CONSENSUS
 20kt / 12h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 25kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 30kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 35kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 40kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 45kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 70kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 65kt / 72h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
Decapatation Guidance NOT VALID
Thermodyanmic Conditions Unfavorable for Intense Typhoons