Rapid Intensification Guidance

 AL302020 201111 00UTC
 Storm Located at           :     29.40     35.80
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:    60.


 Initial Conditions: 
 Predictor                Value    Favorable(F)/Unfavorable(U) 
 INTENSITY (VMAX) [kt]    60.00             N
 12-H DELTA VMAX  [kt]     0.00             N
 CORE SIZE        [km]    10.20             F
 CONVECTION <-50C [%]      8.00            VU
 CONVECTION <-60C [%]      0.00             U
 IR CORE SYMMETRY [K]      4.60             F
 TC SIZE          [%]    104.00             N


 Forecast Conditions:
 Predictor              Value                                         Favorable(F)/Unfavor(U) 
                           6    12    18    24    36    48    60    72  6 12 18 24 36 48 60 72
 Wind Shear [kt]        65.8  61.9  59.1  56.3  35.6  34.5  29.1  34.0 VU VU VU VU  U  U  N  U
 Ocean Heat [kJ/cm^2]    0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U
 Potential [kt]         73.0  71.2  67.7  62.7  56.5  50.8  49.4  46.7  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U
 200mb Divg [10^6/s]    10.0  45.0  70.0  40.0  82.0  69.0  93.0 -62.0  U  N  N  N  N  N  F VU
 Humidity 700-500 hPa   41.0  40.0  39.0  40.0  47.0  47.0  47.0  49.0 VU VU VU VU VU VU VU  U
 T Advectio [10^6 K/s] -13.0  -9.0  -5.0 -10.0 -15.0  -1.0  13.0   5.0 VF  F  F  F VF  N  U  N


    Probabilities[%] of Rapid intensification
 Thresholds   LDA-Method  LRE-Method  CONSENSUS
 20kt / 12h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 25kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 30kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 35kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 40kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 45kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 70kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 65kt / 72h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
Decapatation Guidance NOT VALID
Thermodyanmic Conditions Unfavorable for Intense Typhoons