Rapid Intensification Guidance

 AL302020 201111 06UTC
 Storm Located at           :     29.40     35.10
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:    60.


 Initial Conditions: 
 Predictor                Value    Favorable(F)/Unfavorable(U) 
 INTENSITY (VMAX) [kt]    60.00             N
 12-H DELTA VMAX  [kt]     0.00             N
 CORE SIZE        [km]     2.20             F
 CONVECTION <-50C [%]      9.00            VU
 CONVECTION <-60C [%]      0.00             U
 IR CORE SYMMETRY [K]      4.60             F
 TC SIZE          [%]     85.00             F


 Forecast Conditions:
 Predictor              Value                                         Favorable(F)/Unfavor(U) 
                           6    12    18    24    36    48    60    72  6 12 18 24 36 48 60 72
 Wind Shear [kt]        61.0  61.8  58.5  49.3  38.8  36.8  27.5  35.3 VU VU VU VU  U  U  N  U
 Ocean Heat [kJ/cm^2]    0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U
 Potential [kt]         69.4  67.7  64.3  59.6  55.0  48.0  46.7  44.2  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U
 200mb Divg [10^6/s]    32.0  71.0  27.0  28.0  78.0  32.0  60.0 -61.0  N  N  U  U  N  N  N VU
 Humidity 700-500 hPa   38.0  39.0  40.0  41.0  42.0  44.0  46.0  48.0 VU VU VU VU VU VU VU  U
 T Advectio [10^6 K/s]  -8.0  -8.0  -5.0 -11.0 -10.0   9.0   5.0   6.0  F  F  F  F  F  U  N  N


    Probabilities[%] of Rapid intensification
 Thresholds   LDA-Method  LRE-Method  CONSENSUS
 20kt / 12h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 25kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 30kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 35kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 40kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 45kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 70kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 65kt / 72h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
Decapatation Guidance NOT VALID
Thermodyanmic Conditions Unfavorable for Intense Typhoons