Rapid Intensification Guidance

 AL302020 201115 00UTC
 Storm Located at           :     31.70     18.90
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:    35.


 Initial Conditions: 
 Predictor                Value    Favorable(F)/Unfavorable(U) 
 INTENSITY (VMAX) [kt]    35.00             F
 12-H DELTA VMAX  [kt]     0.00             N
 CORE SIZE        [km]    11.80             F
 CONVECTION <-50C [%]      5.00            VU
 CONVECTION <-60C [%]      0.00             U
 IR CORE SYMMETRY [K]      1.30             F
 TC SIZE          [%]    111.00             N


 Forecast Conditions:
 Predictor              Value                                         Favorable(F)/Unfavor(U) 
                           6    12    18    24    36    48    60    72  6 12 18 24 36 48 60 72
 Wind Shear [kt]        52.4  56.7  53.0  55.7  46.0  28.4  36.5  36.5 VU VU VU VU VU  N  U  U
 Ocean Heat [kJ/cm^2]    0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U
 Potential [kt]         60.9  59.8  58.8  58.8  57.7  52.8  43.4  43.4  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U
 200mb Divg [10^6/s]   -64.0 -45.0 -22.0 -39.0 -18.0  10.0  29.0  29.0 VU VU VU VU  U  U  N  N
 Humidity 700-500 hPa   45.0  44.0  41.0  39.0  33.0  36.0  41.0  41.0 VU VU VU VU VU VU VU VU
 T Advectio [10^6 K/s]  -4.0  -1.0  -1.0   2.0  20.0  -7.0   6.0   6.0  F  N  N  N VU  F  N  N


    Probabilities[%] of Rapid intensification
 Thresholds   LDA-Method  LRE-Method  CONSENSUS
 20kt / 12h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 25kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 30kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 35kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 40kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 45kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 70kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 65kt / 72h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
Decapatation Guidance NOT VALID
Thermodyanmic Conditions Unfavorable for Intense Typhoons