Rapid Intensification Guidance

 EP012020 200426 06UTC
 Storm Located at           :     15.00    117.80
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:    30.


 Initial Conditions: 
 Predictor                Value    Favorable(F)/Unfavorable(U) 
 INTENSITY (VMAX) [kt]    30.00             F
 12-H DELTA VMAX  [kt]     0.00             N
 CORE SIZE        [km]     9.00             F
 CONVECTION <-50C [%]      8.00            VU
 CONVECTION <-60C [%]      2.00             U
 IR CORE SYMMETRY [K]      3.30             F
 TC SIZE          [%]     55.00             F


 Forecast Conditions:
 Predictor              Value                                         Favorable(F)/Unfavor(U) 
                           6    12    18    24    30    36    42    48  6 12 18 24 30 36 42 48
 Wind Shear [kt]        30.6  34.7  39.2  40.2  37.9  39.5  41.7  39.8  U  U  U  U  U  U VU  U
 Ocean Heat [kJ/cm^2]    0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U
 Potential [kt]         88.0  78.0  72.9  69.3  70.5  71.7  70.5  65.9  N  N  U  U  U  U  U  U
 200mb Divg [10^6/s]    29.0  16.0  10.0   8.0   5.0 -13.0 -55.0 -47.0  N  U  U  U  U  U VU VU
 Humidity 700-500 hPa   51.0  50.0  51.0  50.0  49.0  45.0  41.0  40.0  U  U  U  U  U VU VU VU
 T Advectio [10^6 K/s]  30.6  34.7  39.2  40.2  37.9  39.5  41.7  39.8  U  U  U  U  U  U VU  U


    Probabilities[%] of Rapid intensification
 Thresholds   LDA-Method  LRE-Method  CONSENSUS
 20kt / 12h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 25kt / 24h        0.0%        0.1%        0.0%
 30kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 35kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 40kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 45kt / 36h        0.0%        0.1%        0.1%
 55kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 70kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 65kt / 72h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%