Rapid Intensification Guidance

 EP082020 200724 18UTC
 Storm Located at           :     16.70    142.70
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:   100.


 Initial Conditions: 
 Predictor                Value    Favorable(F)/Unfavorable(U) 
 INTENSITY (VMAX) [kt]   100.00             U
 12-H DELTA VMAX  [kt]   -15.00             U
 CORE SIZE        [km]     4.20             F
 CONVECTION <-50C [%]     33.00             U
 CONVECTION <-60C [%]     11.00             U
 IR CORE SYMMETRY [K]      9.00             F
 TC SIZE          [%]     59.00             F


 Forecast Conditions:
 Predictor              Value                                         Favorable(F)/Unfavor(U) 
                           6    12    18    24    36    48    60    72  6 12 18 24 36 48 60 72
 Wind Shear [kt]        12.8  14.6  15.8  15.8  20.9  24.3  30.0  32.8  F  F  F  F  N  N  N  U
 Ocean Heat [kJ/cm^2]    0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   3.0  11.0  11.0  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U
 Potential [kt]         12.2   9.4   6.7   6.7  12.2  21.1  31.2  38.5 VU VU VU VU VU VU VU  U
 200mb Divg [10^6/s]    28.0  21.0  12.0  -9.0   6.0  16.0  30.0  24.0  U  U  U  U  U  U  N  U
 Humidity 700-500 hPa   59.0  57.0  55.0  54.0  49.0  44.0  40.0  39.0  U  U  U  U  U VU VU VU
 T Advectio [10^6 K/s]   2.0   2.0   4.0   7.0   3.0   9.0   1.0   3.0  N  N  N  N  N  U  N  N


    Probabilities[%] of Rapid intensification
 Thresholds   LDA-Method  LRE-Method  CONSENSUS
 20kt / 12h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 25kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 30kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 35kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 40kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 45kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 70kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 65kt / 72h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
Decapatation Guidance NOT VALID
Thermodyanmic Conditions Unfavorable for Intense Typhoons