Rapid Intensification Guidance

 EP082020 200725 00UTC
 Storm Located at           :     17.50    144.30
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:   100.


 Initial Conditions: 
 Predictor                Value    Favorable(F)/Unfavorable(U) 
 INTENSITY (VMAX) [kt]   100.00             U
 12-H DELTA VMAX  [kt]    -5.00             U
 CORE SIZE        [km]     7.00             F
 CONVECTION <-50C [%]     45.00             N
 CONVECTION <-60C [%]     14.00             U
 IR CORE SYMMETRY [K]      9.40             F
 TC SIZE          [%]     66.00             F


 Forecast Conditions:
 Predictor              Value                                         Favorable(F)/Unfavor(U) 
                           6    12    18    24    36    48    60    72  6 12 18 24 36 48 60 72
 Wind Shear [kt]        14.5  16.7  15.9  17.7  25.6  26.9  35.2  31.4  F  F  F  F  N  N  U  U
 Ocean Heat [kJ/cm^2]    0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   6.0  17.0  15.0  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U
 Potential [kt]          8.0   6.7   6.7   9.4  16.5  26.0  34.8  38.5 VU VU VU VU VU VU VU  U
 200mb Divg [10^6/s]    16.0  11.0   2.0  10.0  31.0  33.0  31.0   1.0  U  U  U  U  N  N  N  U
 Humidity 700-500 hPa   57.0  55.0  53.0  51.0  46.0  42.0  40.0  39.0  U  U  U  U VU VU VU VU
 T Advectio [10^6 K/s]   1.0   4.0   5.0   4.0   7.0   1.0   0.0   2.0  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N


    Probabilities[%] of Rapid intensification
 Thresholds   LDA-Method  LRE-Method  CONSENSUS
 20kt / 12h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 25kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 30kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 35kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 40kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 45kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 70kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 65kt / 72h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
Decapatation Guidance NOT VALID
Thermodyanmic Conditions Unfavorable for Intense Typhoons