Rapid Intensification Guidance

 EP082020 200725 06UTC
 Storm Located at           :     18.20    145.90
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:   100.


 Initial Conditions: 
 Predictor                Value    Favorable(F)/Unfavorable(U) 
 INTENSITY (VMAX) [kt]   100.00             U
 12-H DELTA VMAX  [kt]     0.00             N
 CORE SIZE        [km]     2.20             F
 CONVECTION <-50C [%]     20.00             U
 CONVECTION <-60C [%]      1.00             U
 IR CORE SYMMETRY [K]      8.50             F
 TC SIZE          [%]     55.00             F


 Forecast Conditions:
 Predictor              Value                                         Favorable(F)/Unfavor(U) 
                           6    12    18    24    36    48    60    72  6 12 18 24 36 48 60 72
 Wind Shear [kt]        17.5  17.5  18.9  23.3  26.0  35.3  34.3  33.8  F  F  N  N  N  U  U  U
 Ocean Heat [kJ/cm^2]    0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   2.0  13.0  10.0  12.0  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U
 Potential [kt]          6.7   6.7   9.4  13.6  21.1  31.2  38.5  38.5 VU VU VU VU VU VU  U  U
 200mb Divg [10^6/s]    15.0  14.0  25.0  20.0  25.0  27.0  17.0 -10.0  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U
 Humidity 700-500 hPa   52.0  50.0  49.0  47.0  43.0  40.0  39.0  38.0  U  U  U VU VU VU VU VU
 T Advectio [10^6 K/s]   6.0   8.0   7.0   5.0   7.0  -4.0  -3.0   4.0  N  U  N  N  N  F  N  N


    Probabilities[%] of Rapid intensification
 Thresholds   LDA-Method  LRE-Method  CONSENSUS
 20kt / 12h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 25kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 30kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 35kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 40kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 45kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 70kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 65kt / 72h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
Decapatation Guidance NOT VALID
Thermodyanmic Conditions Unfavorable for Intense Typhoons