Rapid Intensification Guidance

 EP122020 200821 00UTC
 Storm Located at           :     23.90    112.80
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:    55.


 Initial Conditions: 
 Predictor                Value    Favorable(F)/Unfavorable(U) 
 INTENSITY (VMAX) [kt]    55.00             N
 12-H DELTA VMAX  [kt]   -10.00             U
 CORE SIZE        [km]     2.20             F
 CONVECTION <-50C [%]     36.00             U
 CONVECTION <-60C [%]      8.00             U
 IR CORE SYMMETRY [K]      7.70             F
 TC SIZE          [%]     85.00             F


 Forecast Conditions:
 Predictor              Value                                         Favorable(F)/Unfavor(U) 
                           6    12    18    24    36    48    60    72  6 12 18 24 36 48 60 72
 Wind Shear [kt]        25.9  28.3  28.8  31.3  31.4  28.6  32.9  46.9  N  N  N  U  U  N  U VU
 Ocean Heat [kJ/cm^2]    2.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U
 Potential [kt]         35.7  27.4  20.4  17.1  11.2   7.2   5.9   3.9  U VU VU VU VU VU VU VU
 200mb Divg [10^6/s]    36.0  -1.0 -29.0  14.0   5.0   6.0  70.0  15.0  N  U VU  U  U  U  N  U
 Humidity 700-500 hPa   58.0  60.0  57.0  55.0  53.0  46.0  45.0  41.0  U  N  U  U  U VU VU VU
 T Advectio [10^6 K/s]  -7.0  -6.0 -20.0 -15.0  -3.0   0.0   0.0   0.0  F  F VF VF  N  N  N  N


    Probabilities[%] of Rapid intensification
 Thresholds   LDA-Method  LRE-Method  CONSENSUS
 20kt / 12h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 25kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 30kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 35kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 40kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 45kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 70kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 65kt / 72h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
Decapatation Guidance NOT VALID
Thermodyanmic Conditions Unfavorable for Intense Typhoons