Rapid Intensification Guidance

 IO042020 201127 00UTC
 Storm Located at           :     14.00     80.70
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:    30.


 Initial Conditions: 
 Predictor                Value    Favorable(F)/Unfavorable(U) 
 INTENSITY (VMAX) [kt]    30.00             F
 12-H DELTA VMAX  [kt]   -10.00             U
 CORE SIZE        [km]    11.80             F
 CONVECTION <-50C [%]      0.00            VU
 CONVECTION <-60C [%]      0.00             U
 IR CORE SYMMETRY [K]      0.60             F
 TC SIZE          [%]     66.00             F


 Forecast Conditions:
 Predictor              Value                                         Favorable(F)/Unfavor(U) 
                           6    12    18    24    36    48    60    72  6 12 18 24 36 48 60 72
 Wind Shear [kt]        33.3  30.2  30.8  25.4  27.5  33.5  39.6  45.7  U  N  U  N  N  U  U VU
 Ocean Heat [kJ/cm^2]   33.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U
 Potential [kt]         88.0  63.8  50.8  50.8  45.4  40.2  43.4  50.0  N  U  U  U  U  U  U  U
 200mb Divg [10^6/s]   -41.0 -36.0 -26.0 -19.0  -9.0   0.0  -6.0  -7.0 VU VU VU  U  U  U  U  U
 Humidity 700-500 hPa   64.0  66.0  61.0  53.0  46.0  35.0  29.0  25.0  N  N  N  U VU VU VU VU
 T Advectio [10^6 K/s]   9.0   6.0   3.0   1.0   0.0 -11.0  -5.0  -5.0  U  N  N  N  N  F  F  F


    Probabilities[%] of Rapid intensification
 Thresholds   LDA-Method  LRE-Method  CONSENSUS
 20kt / 12h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 25kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 30kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 35kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 40kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 45kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 70kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 65kt / 72h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
Decapatation Guidance NOT VALID
Thermodyanmic Conditions Unfavorable for Intense Typhoons