Rapid Intensification Guidance

 SH102020 200127 00UTC
 Storm Located at           :    -24.30     71.10
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:    45.


 Initial Conditions: 
 Predictor                Value    Favorable(F)/Unfavorable(U) 
 INTENSITY (VMAX) [kt]    45.00             N
 12-H DELTA VMAX  [kt]     5.00             N
 CORE SIZE        [km]     7.80             F
 CONVECTION <-50C [%]      0.00            VU
 CONVECTION <-60C [%]      0.00             U
 IR CORE SYMMETRY [K]      0.00             F
 TC SIZE          [%]     70.00             F


 Forecast Conditions:
 Predictor              Value                                         Favorable(F)/Unfavor(U) 
                           6    12    18    24    30    36    42    48  6 12 18 24 30 36 42 48
 Wind Shear [kt]        48.0  48.9  53.2  54.6  56.8  47.2  37.3  36.4 VU VU VU VU VU VU  U  U
 Ocean Heat [kJ/cm^2]    0.5   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U
 Potential [kt]         73.0  65.8  60.4  56.7  56.7  52.0  40.9  33.4  U  U  U  U  U  U  U VU
 200mb Divg [10^6/s]    40.0  54.0  64.0  39.0  23.0   5.0   6.0  34.0  N  N  N  N  U  U  U  N
 Humidity 700-500 hPa   55.0  56.0  51.0  49.0  45.0  48.0  52.0  48.0  U  U  U  U VU  U  U  U
 T Advectio [10^6 K/s]  48.0  48.9  53.2  54.6  56.8  47.2  37.3  36.4 VU VU VU VU VU VU  U  U


    Probabilities[%] of Rapid intensification
 Thresholds   LDA-Method  LRE-Method  CONSENSUS
 20kt / 12h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 25kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 30kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 35kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 40kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 45kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 70kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 65kt / 72h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%