Rapid Intensification Guidance

 SH102020 200127 06UTC
 Storm Located at           :    -25.00     71.30
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:    40.


 Initial Conditions: 
 Predictor                Value    Favorable(F)/Unfavorable(U) 
 INTENSITY (VMAX) [kt]    40.00             F
 12-H DELTA VMAX  [kt]     0.00             N
 CORE SIZE        [km]     9.80             F
 CONVECTION <-50C [%]      0.00            VU
 CONVECTION <-60C [%]      0.00             U
 IR CORE SYMMETRY [K]      0.60             F
 TC SIZE          [%]     76.00             F


 Forecast Conditions:
 Predictor              Value                                         Favorable(F)/Unfavor(U) 
                           6    12    18    24    30    36    42    48  6 12 18 24 30 36 42 48
 Wind Shear [kt]        57.2  52.9  55.9  56.2  46.2  38.0  37.6  38.7 VU VU VU VU VU  U  U  U
 Ocean Heat [kJ/cm^2]    0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U
 Potential [kt]         72.2  65.4  61.7  60.5  54.8  43.3  36.2  32.7  U  U  U  U  U  U  U VU
 200mb Divg [10^6/s]    54.0  64.0  40.0  22.0   5.0   6.0  33.0  30.0  N  N  N  U  U  U  N  N
 Humidity 700-500 hPa   54.0  51.0  50.0  46.0  49.0  51.0  49.0  51.0  U  U  U VU  U  U  U  U
 T Advectio [10^6 K/s]  57.2  52.9  55.9  56.2  46.2  38.0  37.6  38.7 VU VU VU VU VU  U  U  U


    Probabilities[%] of Rapid intensification
 Thresholds   LDA-Method  LRE-Method  CONSENSUS
 20kt / 12h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 25kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 30kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 35kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 40kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 45kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 70kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 65kt / 72h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%