Rapid Intensification Guidance

 SH252020 200406 12UTC
 Storm Located at           :    -16.00    168.80
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:   145.


 Initial Conditions: 
 Predictor                Value    Favorable(F)/Unfavorable(U) 
 INTENSITY (VMAX) [kt]   145.00             U
 12-H DELTA VMAX  [kt]    30.00             F
 CORE SIZE        [km]    11.00             F
 CONVECTION <-50C [%]      8.00            VU
 CONVECTION <-60C [%]      0.00             U
 IR CORE SYMMETRY [K]      5.40             F
 TC SIZE          [%]     61.00             F


 Forecast Conditions:
 Predictor              Value                                         Favorable(F)/Unfavor(U) 
                           6    12    18    24    30    36    42    48  6 12 18 24 30 36 42 48
 Wind Shear [kt]        22.5  27.5  32.2  33.2  32.5  35.1  34.2  34.5  N  N  U  U  U  U  U  U
 Ocean Heat [kJ/cm^2]   42.0  44.0  46.0  36.0  34.0  30.0  26.0  23.0  N  N  N  U  U  U  U  U
 Potential [kt]         20.0  20.0  20.0  20.0  20.0  20.0  12.3   5.7 VU VU VU VU VU VU VU VU
 200mb Divg [10^6/s]    86.0  70.0  63.0  55.0  57.0  86.0  94.0  71.0  F  N  N  N  N  F  F  N
 Humidity 700-500 hPa   70.0  66.0  65.0  68.0  69.0  64.0  65.0  68.0  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N
 T Advectio [10^6 K/s]  22.5  27.5  32.2  33.2  32.5  35.1  34.2  34.5  N  N  U  U  U  U  U  U


    Probabilities[%] of Rapid intensification
 Thresholds   LDA-Method  LRE-Method  CONSENSUS
 20kt / 12h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 25kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 30kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 35kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 40kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 45kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 70kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 65kt / 72h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%