Rapid Intensification Guidance

 WP032020 200804 06UTC
 Storm Located at           :     29.80    120.30
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:    30.


 Initial Conditions: 
 Predictor                Value    Favorable(F)/Unfavorable(U) 
 INTENSITY (VMAX) [kt]    30.00             F
 12-H DELTA VMAX  [kt]   -40.00             U
 CORE SIZE        [km]     5.80             F
 CONVECTION <-50C [%]     12.00            VU
 CONVECTION <-60C [%]      2.00             U
 IR CORE SYMMETRY [K]      5.60             F
 TC SIZE          [%]    126.00             N


 Forecast Conditions:
 Predictor              Value                                         Favorable(F)/Unfavor(U) 
                           6    12    18    24    36    48    60    72  6 12 18 24 36 48 60 72
 Wind Shear [kt]        43.4  48.7  49.3  52.4  52.4  44.5  49.7  64.8 VU VU VU VU VU VU VU VU
 Ocean Heat [kJ/cm^2]    0.0  13.0  11.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U
 Potential [kt]        110.5 114.4 104.8  75.4  52.4  50.0  36.7  41.4  N  N  N  U  U  U  U  U
 200mb Divg [10^6/s]    18.0  14.0  54.0  66.0  29.0  95.0  87.0  51.0  U  U  N  N  N  F  F  N
 Humidity 700-500 hPa   64.0  68.0  68.0  71.0  68.0  60.0  73.0  66.0  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N
 T Advectio [10^6 K/s]  23.0  13.0  20.0  31.0  21.0  21.0  36.0  22.0 VU  U VU VU VU VU VU VU


    Probabilities[%] of Rapid intensification
 Thresholds   LDA-Method  LRE-Method  CONSENSUS
 20kt / 12h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 25kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 30kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 35kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 40kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 45kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 70kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 65kt / 72h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
Decapatation Guidance NOT VALID
Thermodyanmic Conditions Unfavorable for Intense Typhoons