Rapid Intensification Guidance

 WP052020 200810 06UTC
 Storm Located at           :     34.30    128.70
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:    35.


 Initial Conditions: 
 Predictor                Value    Favorable(F)/Unfavorable(U) 
 INTENSITY (VMAX) [kt]    35.00             F
 12-H DELTA VMAX  [kt]    -5.00             U
 CORE SIZE        [km]     2.20             F
 CONVECTION <-50C [%]     28.00             U
 CONVECTION <-60C [%]     14.00             U
 IR CORE SYMMETRY [K]      7.10             F
 TC SIZE          [%]    137.00             U


 Forecast Conditions:
 Predictor              Value                                         Favorable(F)/Unfavor(U) 
                           6    12    18    24    36    48    60    72  6 12 18 24 36 48 60 72
 Wind Shear [kt]        18.4  30.8  37.8  41.1  45.9  51.8  25.2  28.5  F  U  U VU VU VU  N  N
 Ocean Heat [kJ/cm^2]    0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0  17.0  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U
 Potential [kt]         55.7  52.8  40.4  30.1  14.9  22.0  53.7  98.0  U  U  U VU VU VU  U  N
 200mb Divg [10^6/s]    53.0  61.0  47.0  42.0  47.0  46.0  76.0  39.0  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N
 Humidity 700-500 hPa   69.0  68.0  64.0  61.0  65.0  60.0  60.0  64.0  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N
 T Advectio [10^6 K/s]  -3.0  -1.0  12.0  -1.0   2.0   5.0  11.0  17.0  N  N  U  N  N  N  U  U


    Probabilities[%] of Rapid intensification
 Thresholds   LDA-Method  LRE-Method  CONSENSUS
 20kt / 12h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 25kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 30kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 35kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 40kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 45kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 70kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 65kt / 72h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
Decapatation Guidance NOT VALID
Thermodyanmic Conditions Unfavorable for Intense Typhoons