Rapid Intensification Guidance

 WP102020 200902 12UTC
 Storm Located at           :     33.10    127.90
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:    90.


 Initial Conditions: 
 Predictor                Value    Favorable(F)/Unfavorable(U) 
 INTENSITY (VMAX) [kt]    90.00             U
 12-H DELTA VMAX  [kt]   -15.00             U
 CORE SIZE        [km]     2.20             F
 CONVECTION <-50C [%]     41.00             U
 CONVECTION <-60C [%]      9.00             U
 IR CORE SYMMETRY [K]      9.90             F
 TC SIZE          [%]    125.00             N


 Forecast Conditions:
 Predictor              Value                                         Favorable(F)/Unfavor(U) 
                           6    12    18    24    36    48    60    72  6 12 18 24 36 48 60 72
 Wind Shear [kt]        47.6  63.7  78.0  84.4  73.7  26.6  23.8  22.6 VU VU VU VU VU  N  N  N
 Ocean Heat [kJ/cm^2]    0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U
 Potential [kt]          1.7  -3.2 -39.9 -36.8 -36.6 -40.1 -44.5 -45.9 VU VU VU VU VU VU VU VU
 200mb Divg [10^6/s]   138.0 153.0 145.0 161.0  88.0  44.0  57.0  38.0 VF VF VF VF  F  N  N  N
 Humidity 700-500 hPa   62.0  57.0  58.0  60.0  61.0  72.0  73.0  72.0  N  U  U  N  N  N  N  N
 T Advectio [10^6 K/s] -18.0 -58.0  -4.0  47.0 -12.0  -3.0  11.0 -22.0 VF VF  F VU  F  N  U VF


    Probabilities[%] of Rapid intensification
 Thresholds   LDA-Method  LRE-Method  CONSENSUS
 20kt / 12h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 25kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 30kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 35kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 40kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 45kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 70kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 65kt / 72h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
Decapatation Guidance NOT VALID
Thermodyanmic Conditions Unfavorable for Intense Typhoons