Rapid Intensification Guidance

 WP112020 200907 06UTC
 Storm Located at           :     38.30    129.00
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:    60.


 Initial Conditions: 
 Predictor                Value    Favorable(F)/Unfavorable(U) 
 INTENSITY (VMAX) [kt]    60.00             N
 12-H DELTA VMAX  [kt]   -25.00             U
 CORE SIZE        [km]     9.40             F
 CONVECTION <-50C [%]     21.00             U
 CONVECTION <-60C [%]      1.00             U
 IR CORE SYMMETRY [K]      7.10             F
 TC SIZE          [%]    149.00             U


 Forecast Conditions:
 Predictor              Value                                         Favorable(F)/Unfavor(U) 
                           6    12    18    24    36    48    60    72  6 12 18 24 36 48 60 72
 Wind Shear [kt]        54.6  61.0  62.2  50.9  38.1  33.5  31.1  39.1 VU VU VU VU  U  U  U  U
 Ocean Heat [kJ/cm^2]    0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U
 Potential [kt]         -6.3 -12.8 -11.4 -10.1  -9.9  -8.2  -8.2  -9.4 VU VU VU VU VU VU VU VU
 200mb Divg [10^6/s]   111.0  85.0  87.0  86.0  39.0  15.0   9.0   1.0  F  F  F  F  N  U  U  U
 Humidity 700-500 hPa   68.0  67.0  67.0  66.0  65.0  57.0  56.0  53.0  N  N  N  N  N  U  U  U
 T Advectio [10^6 K/s] -39.0  -8.0  -3.0  -2.0 -10.0 -37.0 -10.0  18.0 VF  F  N  N  F VF  F VU


    Probabilities[%] of Rapid intensification
 Thresholds   LDA-Method  LRE-Method  CONSENSUS
 20kt / 12h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 25kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 30kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 35kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 40kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 45kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 70kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 65kt / 72h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
Decapatation Guidance NOT VALID
Thermodyanmic Conditions Unfavorable for Intense Typhoons