Rapid Intensification Guidance

 WP112020 200907 18UTC
 Storm Located at           :     42.10    128.50
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:    35.


 Initial Conditions: 
 Predictor                Value    Favorable(F)/Unfavorable(U) 
 INTENSITY (VMAX) [kt]    35.00             F
 12-H DELTA VMAX  [kt]   -25.00             U
 CORE SIZE        [km]     9.00             F
 CONVECTION <-50C [%]      0.00            VU
 CONVECTION <-60C [%]      0.00             U
 IR CORE SYMMETRY [K]      4.70             F
 TC SIZE          [%]    155.00             U


 Forecast Conditions:
 Predictor              Value                                         Favorable(F)/Unfavor(U) 
                           6    12    18    24    36    48    60    72  6 12 18 24 36 48 60 72
 Wind Shear [kt]        59.0  53.2  44.6  37.1  27.6  28.4  44.8  59.9 VU VU VU  U  N  N VU VU
 Ocean Heat [kJ/cm^2]    0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U
 Potential [kt]         13.6  16.3  16.8  18.4  24.2  24.7  22.3  16.8 VU VU VU VU VU VU VU VU
 200mb Divg [10^6/s]    87.0  83.0  53.0  38.0  14.0   8.0   2.0  30.0  F  N  N  N  U  U  U  N
 Humidity 700-500 hPa   60.0  58.0  56.0  58.0  61.0  65.0  58.0  49.0  N  U  U  U  N  N  U  U
 T Advectio [10^6 K/s]  -4.0  -1.0  -4.0  -9.0 -20.0   3.0   1.0  17.0  F  N  F  F VF  N  N  U


    Probabilities[%] of Rapid intensification
 Thresholds   LDA-Method  LRE-Method  CONSENSUS
 20kt / 12h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 25kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 30kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 35kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 40kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 45kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 70kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 65kt / 72h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
Decapatation Guidance NOT VALID
Thermodyanmic Conditions Unfavorable for Intense Typhoons