Rapid Intensification Guidance

 WP142020 200924 12UTC
 Storm Located at           :     32.60    142.90
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:    35.


 Initial Conditions: 
 Predictor                Value    Favorable(F)/Unfavorable(U) 
 INTENSITY (VMAX) [kt]    35.00             F
 12-H DELTA VMAX  [kt]    -5.00             U
 CORE SIZE        [km]     7.80             F
 CONVECTION <-50C [%]      0.00            VU
 CONVECTION <-60C [%]      0.00             U
 IR CORE SYMMETRY [K]      0.00             F
 TC SIZE          [%]    104.00             N


 Forecast Conditions:
 Predictor              Value                                         Favorable(F)/Unfavor(U) 
                           6    12    18    24    36    48    60    72  6 12 18 24 36 48 60 72
 Wind Shear [kt]        48.2  55.9  63.9  81.7  86.4  82.8  95.8 107.1 VU VU VU VU VU VU VU VU
 Ocean Heat [kJ/cm^2]   44.0  33.0  18.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0  N  U  U  U  U  U  U  U
 Potential [kt]        130.0 130.0 109.4  55.7  31.7  25.1  16.3   9.4  F  F  N  U VU VU VU VU
 200mb Divg [10^6/s]    30.0  99.0 143.0 131.0 138.0  88.0 153.0  88.0  N  F VF  F VF  F VF  F
 Humidity 700-500 hPa   62.0  70.0  72.0  71.0  67.0  69.0  81.0  82.0  N  N  N  N  N  N  F  F
 T Advectio [10^6 K/s]  27.0  52.0  53.0 131.0 149.0 128.0  72.0  65.0 VU VU VU VU VU VU VU VU


    Probabilities[%] of Rapid intensification
 Thresholds   LDA-Method  LRE-Method  CONSENSUS
 20kt / 12h        0.0%        0.1%        0.0%
 25kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 30kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 35kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 40kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 45kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 70kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 65kt / 72h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%