Rapid Intensification Guidance

 WP162020 201016 00UTC
 Storm Located at           :     31.10    144.50
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:    15.


 Initial Conditions: 
 Predictor                Value    Favorable(F)/Unfavorable(U) 
 INTENSITY (VMAX) [kt]    15.00             F
 12-H DELTA VMAX  [kt]     0.00             N
 CORE SIZE        [km]    11.80             F
 CONVECTION <-50C [%]      0.00            VU
 CONVECTION <-60C [%]      0.00             U
 IR CORE SYMMETRY [K]      0.60             F
 TC SIZE          [%]     97.00             N


 Forecast Conditions:
 Predictor              Value                                         Favorable(F)/Unfavor(U) 
                           6    12    18    24    36    48    60    72  6 12 18 24 36 48 60 72
 Wind Shear [kt]        58.5  66.0  78.4  98.3 104.4 105.5 108.1  93.0 VU VU VU VU VU VU VU VU
 Ocean Heat [kJ/cm^2]   13.0  16.0   3.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U
 Potential [kt]        125.5 118.0 101.5  65.0  60.4  46.8  45.9  49.1  N  N  N  U  U  U  U  U
 200mb Divg [10^6/s]    25.0  29.0  29.0  44.0  53.0  15.0  21.0   4.0  U  N  N  N  N  U  U  U
 Humidity 700-500 hPa   55.0  58.0  63.0  64.0  64.0  69.0  68.0  68.0  U  U  N  N  N  N  N  N
 T Advectio [10^6 K/s]  15.0  29.0  32.0  24.0  54.0  32.0  19.0 -12.0  U VU VU VU VU VU VU  F


    Probabilities[%] of Rapid intensification
 Thresholds   LDA-Method  LRE-Method  CONSENSUS
 20kt / 12h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 25kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 30kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 35kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 40kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 45kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 70kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 65kt / 72h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
Decapatation Guidance NOT VALID
Thermodyanmic Conditions Unfavorable for Intense Typhoons