Rapid Intensification Guidance

 WP222020 201030 06UTC
 Storm Located at           :     16.30    131.60
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:   150.


 Initial Conditions: 
 Predictor                Value    Favorable(F)/Unfavorable(U) 
 INTENSITY (VMAX) [kt]   150.00             U
 12-H DELTA VMAX  [kt]    30.00             F
 CORE SIZE        [km]     4.20             F
 CONVECTION <-50C [%]     89.00             F
 CONVECTION <-60C [%]     76.00             F
 IR CORE SYMMETRY [K]      9.90             F
 TC SIZE          [%]     75.00             F


 Forecast Conditions:
 Predictor              Value                                         Favorable(F)/Unfavor(U) 
                           6    12    18    24    36    48    60    72  6 12 18 24 36 48 60 72
 Wind Shear [kt]        16.8  21.2  22.0  26.9  29.1  37.0  26.5  31.1  F  N  N  N  N  U  N  U
 Ocean Heat [kJ/cm^2]  115.0 114.0 115.0 115.0  91.0   0.0  61.0  39.0  F  F  F  F  F  U  N  U
 Potential [kt]         15.0  15.0  15.0  15.0  15.0 -37.8  15.0   9.6 VU VU VU VU VU VU VU VU
 200mb Divg [10^6/s]    18.0  20.0  32.0   5.0   1.0  12.0  39.0  22.0  U  U  N  U  U  U  N  U
 Humidity 700-500 hPa   64.0  58.0  56.0  59.0  61.0  60.0  55.0  56.0  N  U  U  U  N  N  U  U
 T Advectio [10^6 K/s]  13.0   0.0   6.0   5.0   8.0   6.0   9.0  -5.0  U  N  N  N  U  N  U  F


    Probabilities[%] of Rapid intensification
 Thresholds   LDA-Method  LRE-Method  CONSENSUS
 20kt / 12h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 25kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 30kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 35kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 40kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 45kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 70kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 65kt / 72h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%