Rapid Intensification Guidance

 AL032021 210620 12UTC
 Storm Located at           :     33.70     84.90
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:    25.


 Initial Conditions: 
 Predictor                Value    Favorable(F)/Unfavorable(U) 
 INTENSITY (VMAX) [kt]    25.00             F
 12-H DELTA VMAX  [kt]     0.00             N
 CORE SIZE        [km]     9.80             F
 CONVECTION <-50C [%]      8.00            VU
 CONVECTION <-60C [%]      0.00             U
 IR CORE SYMMETRY [K]      6.80             F
 TC SIZE          [%]    150.00             U


 Forecast Conditions:
 Predictor              Value                                         Favorable(F)/Unfavor(U) 
                           6    12    18    24    36    48    60    72  6 12 18 24 36 48 60 72
 Wind Shear [kt]        23.7  27.3  17.7  16.2  21.5  21.0  21.9  31.8  N  N  F  F  N  N  N  U
 Ocean Heat [kJ/cm^2]    2.0   2.0   0.0   1.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U
 Potential [kt]         65.7  66.7  72.0  62.8  41.7  25.6  15.9  14.8  U  U  U  U  U VU VU VU
 200mb Divg [10^6/s]    26.0  32.0  37.0  49.0  57.0  -9.0  59.0  59.0  U  N  N  N  N  U  N  N
 Humidity 700-500 hPa   56.0  59.0  61.0  62.0  65.0  71.0  65.0  63.0  U  U  N  N  N  N  N  N
 T Advectio [10^6 K/s]  40.0  34.0   4.0   7.0  46.0  39.0  10.0 -17.0 VU VU  N  N VU VU  U VF


    Probabilities[%] of Rapid intensification
 Thresholds   LDA-Method  LRE-Method  CONSENSUS
 20kt / 12h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 25kt / 24h        0.0%        0.1%        0.0%
 30kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 35kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 40kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 45kt / 36h        0.0%        0.3%        0.2%
 55kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 70kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 65kt / 72h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
Decapatation Guidance NOT VALID
Thermodyanmic Conditions Unfavorable for Intense Typhoons