Rapid Intensification Guidance

 AL182021 210927 00UTC
 Storm Located at           :     14.50     50.60
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:   130.


 Initial Conditions: 
 Predictor                Value    Favorable(F)/Unfavorable(U) 
 INTENSITY (VMAX) [kt]   130.00             U
 12-H DELTA VMAX  [kt]     5.00             N
 CORE SIZE        [km]     3.00             F
 CONVECTION <-50C [%]     58.00             N
 CONVECTION <-60C [%]     21.00             U
 IR CORE SYMMETRY [K]      9.80             F
 TC SIZE          [%]     63.00             F


 Forecast Conditions:
 Predictor              Value                                         Favorable(F)/Unfavor(U) 
                           6    12    18    24    36    48    60    72  6 12 18 24 36 48 60 72
 Wind Shear [kt]        18.7  14.9  13.5  13.0  15.6  10.8  18.4  16.0  N  F  F  F  F  F  F  F
 Ocean Heat [kJ/cm^2]   46.0  51.0  52.0  47.0  34.0  37.0  57.0  75.0  N  N  N  N  U  U  N  N
 Potential [kt]         16.5  16.5  16.5  18.6  20.7  25.1  32.0  35.0 VU VU VU VU VU VU VU VU
 200mb Divg [10^6/s]    46.0  14.0  25.0  26.0  21.0   8.0  11.0  58.0  N  U  U  U  U  U  U  N
 Humidity 700-500 hPa   50.0  50.0  51.0  51.0  50.0  51.0  52.0  54.0  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U
 T Advectio [10^6 K/s]   0.0  -1.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0  -1.0   0.0  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N


    Probabilities[%] of Rapid intensification
 Thresholds   LDA-Method  LRE-Method  CONSENSUS
 20kt / 12h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 25kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 30kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 35kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 40kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 45kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 70kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 65kt / 72h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%